The value of an average Southampton semi-detached house has
increased in value by £18,832 in the
last 12 months, an increase in value of 6.31%.
Yet the costs of building a Southampton home have shot up even more in the last 12 months, meaning the price of Southampton new homes and any building works you do to your Southampton home in the coming months and years could be a lot higher.
The British house building profession is experiencing a building materials supply problem. Everything from cement to bricks, timber and roof tiles, plastic guttering, copper wire and pipe to insulation, even kitchen sinks have become scarce – and when people can find them, they are costly.
For example, looking at the timber industry, three-quarters of the UK's building timber comes from abroad, so lockdowns around Europe put a restraint on the timber processing industries of Sweden, Lithuania and Latvia throughout 2020. In addition, building material supply chains were interrupted due to the lockdowns imposed by their governments, resulting in many sawmills in those countries restricting shift work to comply with their country’s social distancing rules. Some mills even stopped all work for eight weeks last year, meaning they were incapable of cutting, milling or treating timber, causing their existing stocks of building wood to run dry.
Yet, whilst we were all in
lockdown, everyone started doing DIY projects, so the public demand for
building timber in the UK remained high, giving little opportunity for UK
sawmills (let alone North-eastern Europe) to catch up and restock to the levels
previously held before the pandemic.
Building
timber costs 112% more than a year ago, steel RSJ’s are a lot more expensive
because iron ore has gone up 120.1% whilst aluminium is up 56.8%, and copper is
up 59.7%.
All the blame cannot be laid at the feet of the virus and
lockdown. The ‘B’ word caused issues with supply at the start of the year. Building
materials are a worldwide supply chain issue; this Spring’s Suez boat crisis, when
many boats were diverted around Africa (as the length of time the blockage was
going to last was unknown) exacerbated the problem. All this has combined to
make the cost of sending a 40ft container from China to Tilbury Docks £7,576
today, compared to £1,195 just before the crisis. Also, supplies of sand and cement are particularly low with massive demand
from the large £98bn High Speed 2 (HS2) rail project. All this
combined is affecting many building projects, big and small, across the UK.
If
an average Southampton semi-detached house had risen by the price of building
timber in the last 12 months, today it would be worth £632,700, not the current
£317,275.
RSJ (steel joists) take twenty weeks to arrive, compared with the typical five weeks, whilst plasterboard is being rationed with weeks of delays for the ‘good stuff’ and MDF wood, usually takes seven days to arrive; now it takes over a month. Roof battens need to be ordered a month in advance, whilst pre-lockdown they were commonly held in stock by every building merchant.
Demand for building materials has increased so quickly because many British homeowners are driving the explosion. Those people in safe jobs with little opportunity to spend money on foreign holidays and fancy restaurants decided to invest in their property and gardens. According to the Bank of England, this craving for home improvement has particularly exploded since the mature generation started to be double jabbed (their savings accounts have increased by £180bn during the pandemic).
As I have explained in previous articles, these increases in the price of raw material will fuel inflation, possibly affecting interest rates upward. An increase in interest rates will make a material difference to the value of Southampton property. To what extent? Please read my previous articles on the Southampton property market.
Please do share your stories of issues with builders and building materials over the last 15 months in the comments. I appreciate any stories you can provide to help others in Southampton.
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