Inflation, interest rates, house prices down, house prices up ... the newspapers
are full of column inches on Brit’s second favourite topic - the property market (the first being
the weather obviously!).
Those of you that read my articles on the Southampton property market
know I like to look further afield to compare the Southampton market with the
regional and national markets. The one thing that is immediately apparent is
that the UK does not have one property market.
House prices are up in one region of the UK, yet down in another. It
is a hotchpotch patchwork (almost like a fly’s eye) of lots of small property markets
all performing in different ways.
… and that made me think …
Is there just one Southampton property market
or many?
So,
I decided to dive into the dynamics of the Southampton housing market, to see
if it operates as a singular entity or if the diverse price ranges
significantly influence a property's saleability.
This curiosity stems from the observation that properties, much
like a spectrum, range from modestly priced to premium priced. Such variations
in pricing could potentially carve out distinct segments within the market,
each with its own trends and buyer behaviours. I decided the best way was to split the Southampton property market into four equal sized distinct price ranges, each
representing a unique slice of the market.
Imagine the entire range of
house prices as a four-layer cake.
The lowest quartile forms the base layer, representing
the most affordable 25% of homes – these are typically the most accessible for
first-time buyers and buy-to-let landlords. Next up is the lower middle quartile,
the second layer, encompassing properties priced between the 25th and 50th
percentiles. These homes offer a step up in features, style or location while
remaining within a moderate price range.
Ascending further, the middle upper quartile, the third
layer, includes homes priced between the 50th and 75th percentiles, appealing
to buyers looking for more amenities or premium locations. At the top sits the upper
quartile, the cream of the crop, representing the most expensive 25% of
properties in Southampton. These homes are often luxurious, boasting high-end
features and coveted locations, and are sought after by those who desire the
best the market has to offer.
By segmenting properties into these quartiles, we gain insight into their saleability and can tailor strategies to target buyers effectively within each segment.
These are the quartile/house price bands for Southampton:
·
Lowest
Quartile - (0 to 25% quartile
in terms of value) - Up to £180,000
·
Lower Middle
Quartile - (25% to 50% quartile in terms of value) - £180,000 to £270,000
·
Middle Upper
Quartile - (50% to 75% quartile in terms of value) - £270,000 to £375,000
·
Upper
Quartile - (highest 25% quartile in terms of value) - £375,000 upwards
So, having split the Southampton property market approximately into
four equal sizes, the results in terms of what price band has sold (subject to
contract or stc) the most is quite enlightening –
Southampton |
Available |
Sold STC |
% Sold |
up to £180,000 |
370 |
427 |
53.6% |
£180,000 to £270,000 |
368 |
536 |
59.3% |
£270,000 to £375,000 |
356 |
515 |
59.1% |
£375,000 upwards |
378 |
298 |
44.1% |
The statistics across various price ranges present an
interesting pattern. For properties priced up to £180,000,
there are 370 available, with 427 already sold subject to contract (STC),
representing a 53.6% sale rate.
In the next price band, £180,000 to £270,000, there are 368 properties available, with 536 sold
STC, accounting for a 59.3% sale rate.
The £270,000 to £375,000 range
shows 356 properties on the market, of which 515 have been sold STC, indicating
a 59.1% sale rate.
Lastly, for properties priced at £375,000 and
upwards, there are 378 available, with 298 sold STC, resulting in a sale rate
of 44.1%.
The best performing price ranges/quartiles in the Southampton area are
the lower middle quartile and middle upper quartile markets, with the upper
quartile (the top 25%) range finding things tougher.
In analysing the Southampton property market, it's
clear that the dynamics are multifaceted and cannot be neatly categorised under
a single umbrella.
The
market's behaviour is akin to a kaleidoscope, with each turn revealing a
different pattern based on the price segment. This diversity in performance
across various price bands/quartiles is indicative of a market that caters to a
wide spectrum of buyer preferences and financial capacities.
The
most illuminating insight from this investigation is the relative success of
different price quartiles.
The
lower middle and middle upper quartiles, encompassing homes between £180,000
and £270,000, have shown remarkable resilience, with a high percentage of
properties going under contract.
In
contrast, the upper quartile, representing the most expensive homes, faces a
more challenging landscape. With a lower percentage of homes sold, this segment
could be experiencing a slowdown, possibly due to its limited buyer pool or the
broader economic factors affecting higher-end property investments and
underlines the need for realistic pricing.
This
disparity in market performance underscores the importance of understanding Southampton's
property landscape through a segmented approach.
By
recognising the unique characteristics and demand drivers within each quartile,
estate agents, buyers, and sellers can make more informed decisions.
As
a Southampton estate agent, this insight into the local market's nuances not
only enhances our ability to advise clients but also reinforces our commitment
to providing tailored solutions that resonate with the diverse needs of the Southampton
community.
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