Can we blame the 55 to 70-year-old
Southampton citizens for the current housing crisis in the city?
Also known as the ‘Baby
Boomer Generation’, these Southampton people were born after the end of the
Second World War as the country saw a massive rise in births as they slowly
recovered from the economic hardships experienced during wartime.
Throughout the 1970’s and
1980’s, they experienced (whilst in their 20’s, 30’s and 40’s) an unparalleled
level of economic growth and prosperity throughout their working lifetime on
the back of improved education, government subsidies, escalating property
prices and technological developments, they have emerged as a successful and prosperous
generation.
...Yet some have
suggested these Southampton baby boomers have (and are) making too much
money to the detriment of their children, creating a ‘generational economic
imbalance’, where mature people benefit from house-price growth while their children
are forced either to pay massive rents or pay large mortgages.
Between 2001 and today, average earnings rose
by 65%,
but average Southampton house prices rose by 109.1%
The issue of housing is
particularly acute with the generation called the Millennials, who are young
people born between the mid 1980’s and the late 1990’s. These 18 to 30 years, moulded
by the computer and internet revolution are finding, as they enter early adult
life, it very hard to buy a property, as these ‘greedy’ landlords are buying up
all the property to rent out back to them at exorbitant rents ... it’s no wonder these Millennials are lashing out at buy to
let landlords, as they are seen as the greedy, immoral, wicked people who are
cashing in on a social despair.
Like all things in life,
we must look to the past, to appreciate where we are now.
The three biggest
influencing factors on the Southampton (and UK) property market in the later
half of the 20th Century were, firstly, the mass building of Council
Housing in the 1950’s and 60’s. Secondly, for the Tory’s to sell most of those
Council Houses off in the 1980’s and finally 15% interest rates in the early
1990’s which resulted in many houses being repossessed. It was these major factors
that underpinned the housing crisis we have today in Southampton.
To start with, in 1995 the USA relaxed its lending rules by rewriting the
Community Reinvestment Act. This Act saw
a relaxation on the Bank’s lending criteria’s as there was pressure on these banks to lend on mortgages in low
wage neighbourhoods, as the viewpoint
in the USA was that anyone (even someone on the minimum wage) any working class
person should be able to buy a home. Unsurprisingly, the UK followed suit in the
early 2000’s, as Banks and Building Society’s relaxed their lending criteria
and brought to the market 100% mortgages, even Northern Rock started lending
every man and his dog 125% mortgages.
So when we roll the clock
forward to today, and we can observe those very same footloose banks from the
early/mid 2000’s (that lent 125% with
just a note from your Mum and a couple of breakfast
cereal tokens), ironically reciting the Bank of England backed hymn-sheet
of responsible-lending. On every first time buyer mortgage application, they are
now looking at every line on the 20-something’s banks statements, asking if
they are spending too much on socialising and holidays ... no wonder these Millennials
are afraid to ask for a mortgage (as more often than not after all that – the
answer is negative).
Conversely, you have unregulated
Buy To Let mortgages. As long as you have a 25% deposit, have a pulse, pass a
few very basic yardsticks and have a reasonable job, the banks will literally
throw money at you ... I mean Virgin Money are offering 2.99% fixed for 3 years
– so cheap!
So, in Part Two next week,
I will continue this emotive article and show you some very interesting
findings on why young people aren’t buying property anymore (and it’s not what
you think!).
If you are a landlord or thinking of becoming one for the first time and you want to read more articles like this about the Southampton Property Market, together with regular postings on what I consider the best buy to let deals in Southampton (out of the many of properties on the market, irrespective of which agent is selling it) then feel free to get in touch.
If you are looking for an agent that is well established, professional and communicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.
Email me on brian.linehan@belvoirlettings.com or call on 023 8001 8222.
Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.
Twitter, https://twitter.com/sotonbelvoir
LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianlinehan
LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianlinehan
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