This blog follows the property market in Southampton. You'll find tips, guidance, and analysis that relates specifically to Southampton and you'll also find properties from all the estate agents in the town on here that may make decent investments. I own and operate Belvoir Lettings, a Southampton Letting Agent, and if you're thinking of buying a property to let in Southampton, I'm happy to offer a second opinion.
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Monday, 3 May 2021
𝐄𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭 𝐖𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐒𝐨𝐮𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐦𝐩𝐭𝐨𝐧 𝐋𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐥𝐨𝐫𝐝𝐬 𝐂𝐚𝐧 𝐆𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐁𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐈𝐧𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐃𝐞𝐚𝐥
Thursday, 29 April 2021
Will Southampton House Prices Fall in 2022?
One of the most astounding things that has happened in the last 12 months was something that did not happen. Even after the country saw the deepest recession since the Great Freeze of 1709 with GDP dropping 28% in one quarter, one would have expected a large fall in Southampton house prices would follow. Yet…
Southampton house prices are 7.8% higher than 12
months ago.
Even though buying and selling Southampton property was put
on ice for the first time in the history of the Southampton property market last
spring due to the Covid 19 outbreak, as the Southampton property market wobbled
on the edge of a deep recession, it stepped back in early summer and now it is rocketing
upwards as…
13.4% of Southampton homes are selling within a
fortnight of coming to market.
Some commentators have suggested the end of the Stamp Duty
holiday together with the ending of the furlough scheme on the 30th
September 2021 could be the catalyst for a drop in house prices. Even the
Government’s own regulator of finances expects UK house prices to fall around a
couple of percentage points in 2022 whilst some others have predicted a drop of
around 5% as unemployment levels increase post furlough.
However, other property market forecasters believe that property
values in 2022 won’t drop against the background of robust British economic
recovery in Q3 and Q4 of 2021.
What do I think will happen to the Southampton property
market in the next 12 months?
On the positive side, what I do know is the Stamp Duty
holiday enabled Southampton homebuyers to spend those tax savings on the price
paid for their Southampton home and that certainly accounts for some of the
uplift in house prices mentioned above.
Also, the historically low interest rates that have
supported Southampton homebuyers’ affordability for the last 13 years since the
Credit Crunch has continued. Secondly, with people spending many months working
from home, this has seemed to have polarised people’s inclination to make
lifestyle changes. Finally, the Government has recently introduced 5% deposit
mortgages for first-time buyers. All these factors will fuel demand and hence
may cause house prices to rise.
On a more cautious note, I do not believe these very sturdy Southampton
house value rises of the past year will persist at these levels for the next 12
months. With buyers having to use many thousands of pounds on Stamp Duty, the
price they pay for their Southampton home will be curtailed, meaning property
values by definition will ease.
The simple fact is the British economy has yet to feel the
full effect of its largest recession since 1709, and we must remain considerate
about the long-term effects of the economy (and unemployment levels) on the
property market.
These are interesting times for the Southampton property
market. If the price you want to achieve for your Southampton home is the most
important thing, now as opposed to 2022 might be a good time to consider
placing your property on the market.
Don’t forget, you can still put your Southampton property on
the market, find a buyer and then go and see what is available to buy. Many
buyers will wait for you to find a property, yet if they can’t/won’t – you
won’t be made homeless. English property law means you can still come away from
the sale and you won’t be forced to sell. If you would like to know a bit more
about that or any aspect of buying or selling property in Southampton, drop me
a message or call me.
CLICK HERE TO FIND OUT HOW MUCH YOUR SOUTHAMPTON PROPERTY IS WORTH
If you would like to pick my brains on the Southampton Property Market – Just drop me a line on social media or email me @ brian.linehan@belvoir.co.uk you can also call me on 023 8001 8222.
If you are looking for an agent that is well established, professional and communicative, then contact me to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.
Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.
Blog, http://southamptonproperty.blogspot.co.uk/
Facebook, https://www.facebook.com/belvoirsouthampton/
Twitter, https://twitter.com/sotonbelvoir
LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianlinehan
Website, https://www.belvoir.co.uk/offices/southampton
Monday, 12 April 2021
Lessons for landlords in Southampton from the wealthiest person in the world
A landlords’ advice article published recently said property investors need to think more like the Amazon founder Jeff Bezos.
The billionaire businessman is renowned for his long-term thinking. He thinks decades ahead, and let’s face it, he’s not doing too bad, is he?
The article said landlords should retain good tenants at a reasonable rate rather than aim to get the highest rents in the short term. It’s wise advice and something we believe in.
When a landlord adopts a short-term view of their property investment, it can often lead to lasting headaches. The advice you are given can often depend on your letting agent’s philosophy.
Some agents will say things like: ‘The rental market in Southampton is on fire now. We can get you even higher rents and squeeze out every penny from tenants.’
That’s not the way we approach things. Why? Because if you hike up a person’s rent whenever possible, it may mean more money in the short run but can be more costly in the long run.
Our advice to clients and indeed anyone thinking of investing in rental property is this:
Getting higher monthly rents isn’t as crucial in the mid to long term as finding and looking after good quality tenants paying a fair rate.
Here are some of the plus points a good longer term tenant brings:
Fewer void periods.
Fewer unnecessary repair or maintenance call outs mean a reduction in the property’s running expenses.
Good tenants appreciate they are being treated fairly and respectfully, and they look after their home.
Never to be underestimated is that having a good tenant in your property reduces your stress levels.
Going for the highest monthly rent charge as a property rental strategy can often be a mistake. It is more about maximising the overall return for our landlords.
At Belvoir Southampton, we take the time to find, vet and keep good quality tenants for our landlords. This is the best way forward in the long term.
So, take a leaf out of the wealthiest person in the World’s book (Bezos was ranked #1 by Forbes magazine last month) and think further ahead when it comes to achieving rental property success.
*Copyright Belvoir Southampton
Friday, 9 April 2021
Are You Ready for Life after Lockdown in Southampton?
In this two-minute read, we look at how to get ready for the changes that lie ahead as restrictions continue to ease.
Southampton Property Market: 2011-2021
A look back at the Southampton housing market over the last decade
With all of us completing the Census, a couple of weeks ago, it made me realise profoundly that mine and my family’s life, which from our own point of view seems unique and delightful, makes us all into a series of statistics for the Census gatherers to pore over. To digest and regurgitate facts, figures and trends for those who are interested in the ever- changing social circumstances of these islands.
However, the information from the Census is vital to improving
our lives - Governments can plan the future with the information it provides
and we in turn can wonder about the lives of our past generations with the
information provided therein historically if we so wish.
Whilst the information from this Census won’t be published
until March 2023, let us have a look at what has been happening in the Southampton
property market since the last time we completed the Census, in 2011.
Just to remind you, 2011 saw the wedding of Prince William
and Kate Middleton, Mr Cameron was the PM, there was the last flight of the
Space Shuttle and Game of Thrones premiered.
· The average price paid for a Southampton detached
home in the last 12 months has been £446,000. The average value of a Southampton
detached home has risen by 36.5% in the last 10 years or £125,000
·
The average price paid for a Southampton
semi-detached home in the last 12 months has been £293,200. The average value
of a Southampton semi-detached home has risen by 39.0% in the last 10 years or
£95,100
·
The average price paid for a Southampton town
house/terraced home in the last 12 months has been £238,900. The average value
of a Southampton town house/terraced home has risen by 34.8% in the last 10
years or £76,200
·
The average price paid for a Southampton
apartment/flat in the last 12 months has been £174,300. The average value of a Southampton
apartment/flat has risen by 31.7% in the last 10 years or £55,500
Irrespective of any dip in Southampton house prices or
transactions when the Stamp Duty Holiday ends in the autumn, this is a trend
that looks set to continue, with no sign that supply of new homes is anywhere
near to keeping pace with demand for households.
There have only been 6,385 new properties built in Southampton
in the last 10 years, that’s just over 53 a month. That means the population in
Southampton has risen by 2.62 people for every new home built over
that decade.
Nationally, the Country has only built just over 180k homes
a year over the last decade, 120k less than the national target of 300k. In the
meantime, the population has grown by more than 4 million.
When looking locally at the size
of new build property in Southampton, the average property is just over 850 sq.
ft., which is 20% smaller than a decade ago.
Rents in Southampton …
Whether you are a winner or loser in terms of rental values
depends on whether you are a Southampton landlord or a Southampton tenant.
The average rent for a property in Southampton
currently stands at £1,228 per month, whilst a decade ago, it was £998 per
month
This means
private rents have increased by £1.91 a month for the past ten years. Interesting, when compared to the national
average of 98p a month whilst in London, rents have grown by a massive £4.64 a
month.
So what’s in store for the next 10 years of the Southampton Property
Market…
Well the next
ten years will also be just as fascinating. To try and predict would be a
fool’s game.
For example, who
would have believed what the Southampton property market has done in the last
12 months since the start of Lockdown 1.0. The number of transactions (i.e.
people moving) in turn with UK house prices having risen so much in the
last year ... all during a worldwide pandemic and at a time of such mayhem and
havoc in the UK and world economy, is nothing short of remarkable … the
question is – is it sustainable?
Read these articles in the coming months and years and
I will share with you what is happening to the value of your Southampton
property, be you a Southampton homeowner or Southampton landlord.
CLICK HERE TO FIND OUT HOW MUCH YOUR SOUTHAMPTON PROPERTY IS WORTH
If you would like to pick my brains on the Southampton Property Market – Just drop me a line on social media or email me @ brian.linehan@belvoir.co.uk you can also call me on 023 8001 8222.
If you are looking for an agent that is well established, professional and communicative, then contact me to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.
Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.
Blog, http://southamptonproperty.blogspot.co.uk/
Facebook, https://www.facebook.com/belvoirsouthampton/
Twitter, https://twitter.com/sotonbelvoir
LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianlinehan
Website, https://www.belvoir.co.uk/offices/southampton
Monday, 5 April 2021
Southampton Property Market Improved by 28.7% Over Pre-pandemic
Levels
Has there ever been a better time for Southampton home sellers?
The Southampton property market, for people looking to sell,
is at its sturdiest for at least the last five years with home buyers jumping
onto the Southampton property ladder with abandon.
Southampton house prices are anticipated to rise throughout 2021 after the Stamp Duty cut (and subsequent extension until the autumn) and the newly revealed 95% mortgages for Southampton first-time buyers (and Southampton homeowners with minimal equity).
In addition, the continued low interest rates and the demand for larger homes because of lockdown means the Southampton property market should remain bullish for a while. There is a surge in potential buyers putting themselves on mailing lists with Southampton estate agents, making the biggest disparity between supply and demand for Southampton property for many years.
Fears of a cliff edge for the Southampton housing market at the end of March have dispersed, somewhat due to the Stamp Duty tax deadline extensions, but also because of the elevated level of buyer demand caused by the three lockdowns which has continued to swell since the start of 2021, meaning that today …
66% of Southampton properties on the market are Sold (STC)
Interesting, when utilising data from theadvisory.co.uk website, the Southampton average for the last five years has only been 51%, meaning there has been an uplift of 28.7% in the proportion of Southampton properties sold (stc) compared to that five-year average.
Yet what can’t be forgotten is that 45% of Southampton house sellers are also house buyers, so whilst they do indeed achieve a higher price for their Southampton property, they also have to pay more for the Southampton property they want to buy.
So, how much will Southampton house prices rise by?
Like all things in life, it’s all about supply and demand. I have discussed the demand, yet what about the supply of properties for sale? Well…..
There are 5% more Southampton properties for sale
today compared to 6 years ago
Nationally, in most UK towns and cities, the number of properties that are for sale today compared to same pre-Easter property markets of 2015 to 2019 are lower by around 10% to 20%, yet in Southampton the opposite is true. With the easing of lockdown started and the faster rollout of the vaccine, this has persuaded more Southampton homeowners (especially those older Southampton homeowners who have had their jabs) to start making the first steps towards moving home in 2021 and placing their property on the market for sale.
This will mean there will be more Southampton properties available for sale in the conventionally busier post Easter market in the coming weeks and months which should cause more equilibrium and help keep Southampton property prices in check.
These are interesting times for the Southampton property market. If you are a Southampton homeowner or Southampton landlord looking to buy or let your Southampton property in the coming weeks or months, don’t hesitate to drop me a line to discuss what all the points raised in article mean to you.
CLICK HERE TO FIND OUT HOW MUCH YOUR SOUTHAMPTON PROPERTY IS WORTH
If you would like to pick my brains on the Southampton Property Market – Just drop me a line on social media or email me @ brian.linehan@belvoir.co.uk you can also call me on 023 8001 8222.
If you are looking for an agent that is well established, professional and communicative, then contact me to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.
Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.
Blog, http://southamptonproperty.blogspot.co.uk/
Facebook, https://www.facebook.com/belvoirsouthampton/
Twitter, https://twitter.com/sotonbelvoir
LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianlinehan
Website, https://www.belvoir.co.uk/offices/southampton
Southampton First-time Buyers Can Now Buy Using the Government's 5% Deposit Mortgages
Yet higher mortgage rates could
see Southampton buyers paying
a lot more each month for the
privilege
Being a Southampton first-time buyer in the last 12 months has not been an easy thing. Just before lockdown there were 400 ‘5% deposit mortgage’ deals and first-time buyers were able to shop around to get the best deal. When the first lockdown hit, 5% deposit mortgages disappeared meaning that many Southampton would-be first-time buyers had the rug pulled from under their feet.
Today, you can count on two hands the number of mortgage deals which allow a 5% deposit. Even worse, the number of hoops one has to jump through to get a 5% deposit mortgage is very high (plus you have to pay handsomely for the privilege, with mortgage rates of at least 4.15%).
In putting down a 5% deposit, you borrow the remaining 95% as a mortgage. These 95% mortgages (or Loan to Value) were very popular with Southampton first-time buyers before the Credit Crunch. Nearly 1 in 6 mortgages were 90% to 95%+ Loan to Value mortgages in 2007 (15.5%), yet as the Global Financial Crisis hit in 2008/9 that dropped to only 1 in 63 mortgages being in 90% to 95%+ range in 2010 – meaning many Southampton first-time buyers were unable to buy their first Southampton home between 2010 and 2015.
Yet in the recent Budget, Rishi Sunak has vowed to back the building societies and banks so that they can offer more of these higher 95% Loan to Value mortgage deals.
Many people have said, this will mean there will be a Southampton house price boom – especially as the Stamp Duty holiday is extended until September
This scheme is nothing new as a practically identical scheme was launched by George Osborne in the 2013 Budget with his Help to Buy Scheme. Nearly one in five houses sold in the year after that budget used this scheme, yet Osborne’s was only for first-time buyers and it was only for brand new homes (not second-hand homes). Whilst there is no doubt this caused an increase in house purchases, many commentators said it was a backdoor method to keep the country’s new homes builders afloat.
The big difference with this new 2021 scheme is that it is available for Southampton second-hand homes as well and is open to all Southampton owner occupiers moving home
But the big question is, what interest rate will the banks’ charge?
Although no building societies or banks have yet publicised the mortgage rates they will charge, all the High Street lenders including NatWest, Santander, HSBC, Virgin Money, Barclays and Lloyds have stated they intend to offer these 95% LTV mortgages.
Under the Government’s mortgage guarantee to the Banks, Westminster will guarantee 20% of any mortgage offered at 95% Loan to Value. In principle, that means that building societies/banks should be able to offer the low mortgage rates as those available to people wanting to borrow 75% Loan to Value.
At the moment the average five-year fixed rate mortgage is 3.6%with a 10% deposit but if you have a 25% deposit, you can fix forfive years at 1.63%
However, don’t forget though that the banks will be charged a ‘still to be decided’ amount to use the Government guarantee. On the last Help to Buy Scheme, it was rumoured they were charged 0.9% of the mortgage borrowed, so this cost would have to be passed on to the first-time buyer. I would suspect the eventual rates Southampton first-time buyers will have to pay will be somewhere in the region of 3%.
This new 95% mortgage/5% deposit scheme is only going to work if the banks and building societies have sensible mortgage rates as it needs to help those Southampton first-time buyers it was intended to benefit, who are finding it hard work to get on the first rung of the Southampton housing ladder.
It all comes down to how anxious the banks and building societies feel about the true long-term effect of the pandemic once the furlough scheme ends in the autumn. Only time will tell.
Yet, to give you an idea of the difference the mortgage
rates scheme will make on a typical Southampton terraced/town house …
the average price paid for a Southampton terraced inthe last 12 months was £238,900
Assuming a 35-year repayment mortgage and borrowing that amount on each scenario:
- At the current best 95% LTV mortgage rate (i.e. 5% deposit) of 4.15% mentioned at the start of the article, that would cost £1,079 per month in mortgage payment
- At the current average 90% LTV mortgage rate (i.e. 10% deposit) of 3.6% mentioned in the middle of the article, that would cost £1,001 per month in mortgage payment
- At the best 75% LTV mortgage rate (i.e. 25% deposit) of 1.63% mentioned at the start of the article, that would cost £747 per month in mortgage payments
As you can see, quite a difference.
It will be a good boost to the Southampton (and UK as a whole) property market. Whilst the mortgage guarantee offers a small portion of security for the lenders, it does focus on the riskiest part of the housing market. Many lenders still have cold shivers of the Northern Rock 125% mortgage debacle from a decade ago and those memories still ring true today.
The fact is these types of mortgages will be a higher risk, even if the Government are underwriting them with their smaller deposits, which will come through in bank’s and building societies higher pricing for these mortgages. Also, the lenders are already at near full capacity trying to get hundreds of thousands of existing property sales and purchase deals through because of the Stamp Duty rush over the last 9 months. I await the rates in early April and will make comment again.
If you are a Southampton homeowner, potential Southampton first-time buyer or anyone involved in the Southampton property market and you would like to chat about anything I’ve covered in this article or any of my other articles on the Southampton property market, please don’t hesitate to drop me a line.
Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.
Blog, http://southamptonproperty.blogspot.co.uk/
Facebook, https://www.facebook.com/belvoirsouthampton/
Twitter, https://twitter.com/sotonbelvoir
LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianlinehan
Website, https://www.belvoir.co.uk/offices/southampton








