The next five years will see an interesting
change in the Southampton property market. My recent research has concluded
that the rent private tenants pay in Southampton will rise faster than Southampton
property prices over the next five years, creating further issues to Southampton’s
growing multitude of renters. In fact, my examination of statistics forecasts
that ..
By 2022, Southampton
rents will increase by 23%, whereas Southampton property values will only grow by
17%.
Let me explain why I have come to those
conclusions:
Over the last five years, property values in Southampton
have risen by 31.6%, whilst rents have only risen by 16.3%.
Throughout the last few years, and compounded
in 2016, tenant demand for rental properties continued to go up whilst the
Press predicted some landlords expect to reduce their
portfolios in the next couple of years, meaning Southampton tenants will have
fewer properties to choose from, which will push rents higher. In fact, talking
to fellow property professionals in Southampton, there appears to be privation
and shortage of new rental properties coming on to the Southampton lettings
market.
Landlords have some intriguing challenges ahead
of them in the coming years most notably in that the Tory’s have changed the taxation
rules for landlords in the way buy to let properties are to be taxed. On top of
that, there is the ban on letting agent fees which is still to come into force
(probably in 2018). When that happened in Scotland in 2012, Scottish letting agents
passed on those fees to their landlords, who in turn increased the rent they
charged to their tenants.
All I would say to Theresa May and Philip
Hammond is that they must be wary about indicating both red and green lights at
the same time to the private rented sector. They can’t expect the armies of
small private landlords to continue to house around a fifth of the population
and then tax the hell out of them. They didn’t invest in buy to let as a
charity or to satisfy any philanthropic urges. Something has to give – and that
will be significant rent rises over the coming few years (and before anyone gives me any derogatory comments about landlords …
if it wasn’t for landlords buying all these buy to let properties over the last
15 years, I am not sure where everyone would be living today – because most the
Council houses were sold off in the 1980’s!).
With the challenges ahead, with the ‘B’ word
(that’s budget if you wondered!), house price inflation will be tempered over
the coming five years in Southampton. As I have discussed in previous articles,
the number of properties on the market in Southampton remains close to historic
lows, which is both good as it keeps houses prices relatively stable, yet not
so good as it impedes choice for buyers… and hence why I believe property
values in Southampton will only be 17% higher in five years’ time.
Whilst on the other side of the coin, with the challenges
facing landlords and the significant shortage of new homes being built, Southampton
people still need somewhere to live. If those people aren’t buying houses and
the local authority aren’t building council houses in there thousands (because
they have no money), with the average rent for a Southampton rental property
currently standing at £1,076 per month …
Over the
next five years, I predict the average rent
in Southampton
will rise to £1,323 per month
If you are an existing landlord or someone thinking of become a first-time landlord looking for advice and opinion and what (or what not to buy in Southampton), one source of information is the Southampton Property Blog
If you are looking for an agent that is well established, professional andcommunicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.
Email me on brian.linehan@belvoirlettings.com or call on 023 8001 8222.
Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.
Twitter, https://twitter.com/sotonbelvoir
LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianlinehan
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Website, https://www.belvoir.co.uk/letting-agents-southampton
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