Beast from the East, Russia, Facebook, Brexit, Trump, House
prices up, House prices down ... the Press is full of column inches on Brit’s
favourite subjects of politics, scandal, weather and not forgetting (and I appreciate the irony of this!) the
property market. As an agent belonging to a national group of estate agents,
talking to my fellow property professionals from around the UK, the one thing
that is immediately apparent is the UK does not have one property market. It is
a hodgepodge patchwork of lots of small property markets all performing in different
ways.
… And that made me think … is there just one Southampton
Property Market or many?
I like to keep an eye on the property market in Southampton
on a daily basis because it enables me to give the best advice and opinion on
what (or what not) to buy in Southampton, be that a buy-to-let property for a Southampton
landlord or an owner occupier house for a home owner. So, I thought, how could I scientifically
split the Southampton housing market into segments, so I could see which part
of the market was performing the best and
the worst.
I decided the best way was to split the Southampton property
market into four equal size price bands (into terms of households for sale). Each
price band would have around 25% of the property in Southampton, from the
lowest in value (the Lowest Quartile or 25%) all the way through to the highest 25% in terms of value, the
Upper Quartile. Looking at the market, I have
calculated that these are the price bands in Southampton are as follows:
·
Lowest Quartile (lowest 25% in terms of value) … Up to £180,000
·
Lower/Middle Quartile (25% to 50% Quartile in terms of value) ... £180,000 to £230,000
·
Middle/Upper Quartile (50% to 75% Quartile in terms of value)
... £230,000 to £290,000
·
Upper Quartile (highest 25% in terms of value) ... £290,000 Upwards
So, having split the Southampton Property Market
approximately into four equal sizes, the results in terms what price band has
sold (subject to contract or stc) the most is quite enlightening -
Southampton
|
Available
|
Sold
STC
|
%
Sold
|
Up to £180,000
|
331
|
433
|
56.7%
|
£180,000 to £230,000
|
277
|
380
|
57.8%
|
£230,000 to £290,000
|
346
|
361
|
51.1%
|
£290,000 Upwards
|
440
|
308
|
41.2%
|
The results are close, but the best performing price range
in Southampton is the lower end of the middle market. As I would expect, the
upper quartile (the top 25%) is finding things toughest. Interestingly for Southampton
landlords, the lower market is also selling well, meaning there are plenty of Southampton
landlords buying properties to add to their buy to let portfolios. Even though
the number of first time buyers did increase in 2017, it was from a low base
and the vast majority of 20 something’s cannot buy, so need a roof over their
head (hence the need to rent somewhere).
It is a fact that British (and Southampton’s) housing markets
have ridden the storms of Oil crisis in the 1970’s, the 1980’s depression,
Black Monday in the 1990’s, and latterly the Credit Crunch together with the
various house price crashes of 1973, 1987 and 2008. No matter what happens to
us Brexit or anything else ... unless the Government starts to build hundreds
of thousands extra houses each year, demand will always outstrip supply … so maybe
a time for Southampton investors to bag a bargain?
Want to know where those Southampton buy to let bargains
are? Follow my Southampton Property Blog
or drop me an email because irrespective of which agent you use, myself or any
of the other excellent agents in Southampton, many local landlords ask me my
thoughts, opinion and advice on what (and not) to buy locally … and I wouldn’t
want you to miss out on those thoughts ... would you?
If you are looking for an agent that is well established, professional andcommunicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.
Email me on brian.linehan@belvoirlettings.com or call on 023 8001 8222.
Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.
Twitter, https://twitter.com/sotonbelvoir
LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianlinehan
LinkedIn, https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianlinehan
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