In
1979, more than 4 in 10 British people lived in a council house, yet today that
figure is only 1 in 12, whilst according
to Shelter 65% of families on the
Council House waiting lists had been on those lists for more than a year and 27%
had been waiting for more than five years.
One
solution to the housing crisis has always been for the local authority to build
more homes, yet should the state provide people with secure and dependable places
to live – or is that an out-dated point of view? To look at this objectively,
let’s take a step back.
Everything changed in 1979, when Margaret Thatcher delivered the right for Council tenants to buy their Council House (called the Right To Buy Scheme). Interestingly, Right To Buy was a Labour Party idea from one of Labour Manifestoes of the late 1950’s (although they lost to the Tory’s). Mrs Thatcher’s idea was based on massive discounts and 100% mortgages for those buying … but this was the real issue that has come back to bite us all these years later! Half the proceeds of the property sales went back to Westminster and the other half went back to the local authority – but the Councils half could only be spent on reducing their debt – not to be spent on building more Council houses.. hence why we have a shortage of council houses.
In
2011, Central Government gave local authorities the power to limit people’s entitlement
for social housing (aka Council Housing), hence removing those
people that did not have an association or link to the locality.
Today,
in Southampton, the Council House
Waiting List has dropped by 48.6% since 2011, meaning
8,351 families are waiting for a
Council House
in Southampton
Interestingly though, if our local
Council House Waiting List had changed by the same amount as the national one,
the waiting list figure would be 9,929 instead, because nationally Council
House waiting lists are only 38.6% lower than 2011.
So where are these Southampton families
all living and what does this mean for Southampton homeowners and Southampton
Landlords?
Quite simply, private landlords
have taken up the slack and housed all those people that were on the waiting
list. This is important as more and more tenants are
stopping longer in the Private Rented Sector - the average length of time of a
tenant stays in the same property is now 4 years. Renting is becoming a choice
for many, as the years of this Millennium roll on. So much so, would it
surprise you to know that renting a house can be more expensive than buying it
as we have these ultra-low mortgage rates and 95% mortgages freely available?
Rents in the Rental Sector in Southampton
will increase steadily during the next five to ten years. Even though the Council
House Waiting List has decreased, the number of new council and housing
association properties being built is at a 75-year low. The government campaign
against buy to let landlords together with the increased taxation and the
banning of tenant fees to agents will restrict supply of private rental
property, which in turn using simple supply and demand economics, will mean
private rents will rise – making buy to let investment a good choice of
investment vehicle again (irrespective of the increased fees and taxation laid
at the door of landlords).
..and for home owners (and
landlords) Southampton property values will remain strong and stable in the
medium term, as the number of people moving to a new house (and selling their
old property) will continue to remain limited, meaning that due to lack of
choice and supply Southampton buyers will have to pay decent money for any
property they wish to buy (especially ones in good locations and presented
well).
Interesting times ahead for the Southampton
Property Market!
If you would like to pick my brains on the Southampton Property Market – pop in for a coffee or drop me a line on social media or email.
If you are looking for an agent that is well established, professional and communicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.
Email me on brian.linehan@belvoir.co.uk or call on 023 8001 8222.
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