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Thursday, 21 June 2018

Extra Funding Is Required for Affordable Homes in Southampton



In my blog about the Southampton Property Market I mostly only talk about two of the three main sectors of the local property market, the ‘private rented sector’ and the ‘owner occupier sector’. However, as I often stress when talking to my clients, one cannot forget the third sector, that being the ‘social housing sector’ (or council housing as some people call it).
In previous articles, I have spoken at length about the crisis in the supply of property in Southampton (i.e. not enough property is being built), but in this article I want to talk about the other crisis – that of affordability. It is not just about the pure number of houses being built but also the equilibrium of tenure (ownership vs rented) and therein, the affordability of housing, which needs to be considered carefully for an efficient and effective housing market.

An efficient and effectual housing market is in everyone’s interests, including Southampton homeowners and Southampton landlords, so let me explain ..

An average of only 307 Affordable Homes per year have been built by Southampton City Council in the last 9 years

The requirement for the provision of subsidised housing has been recognised since Victorian times. Even though private rents have not kept up with inflation since 2005 (meaning tenants are better off) it’s still a fact there are substantial numbers of low-income households in Southampton devoid of the money to allow them a decent standard of housing.

Usually, property in the social housing sector has had rents set at around half the going market rate and affordable shared home ownership has been the main source of new affordable housing yet, irrespective of the tenure, the local authority is simply not coming up with the numbers required. If the local authority isn’t building or finding these affordable homes, these Southampton tenants still need housing, and some tenants at the lower end of the market are falling foul of rogue landlords. Not good news for tenants and the vast majority of law abiding and decent Southampton landlords who are tarnished by the actions of those few rogue landlords, especially as I believe everyone has the right to a safe and decent home.

Be it Tory’s, Labour, SNP, Lib Dems, Greens etc, everyone needs to put party politics aside and start building enough homes and ensure that housing is affordable. Even though 2017 was one of the best years for new home building in the last decade (217,000 home built in 2017) overall new home building has been in decline for many years from the heady days of the early 1970s, when an average of 350,000 new homes were being built a year. As you can see from the graph, we simply aren’t building enough ‘affordable’ homes in the area.




The blame cannot all be placed at the feet of the local authority as Council budgets nationally, according to Full-Fact, are 26% lower than they have been since 2010.

So, what does this mean for Southampton homeowners? Well, an undersupply of affordable homes will artificially keep rents and property prices high. That might sound good in the short term, but a large proportion of my Southampton landlords find their children are also priced out of the housing market. Also, whilst your Southampton home might be slightly higher in value, due to this lack of supply of homes at the bottom end of the market, as most people move up the market when they do move, the one you want to buy will be priced even higher.

Problems at the lower end of the property market will affect the middle and upper parts. There is no getting away from the fact that the Southampton housing market is all interlinked .. it’s not called the Property ‘Ladder’ for nothing!

If you are looking for an agent that is well establishedprofessional andcommunicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.

Email me on brian.linehan@belvoirlettings.com or call on 023 8001 8222.

Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.

Wednesday, 13 June 2018

Southampton Property Market – Asking Prices Down 0.4% in the Last 12 Months


The average asking price of property in Southampton dropped by 0.4% or £1,180 compared to a year ago, taking the current average asking price to £290,222 compared with £291,402 this time last year.

The overall drop in asking prices is being put down to sellers being more realistic with their pricing and looking to benefit from the impending mortgage interest rate rises later in 2018. This is great news for first, second and third time buyers in Southampton starting their property hunting in the usually active spring market this year facing the opportunity of paying less for the property of their dreams. Even better news is that whilst first time buyers also have to pay less for their property, they also have the bonus of the Chancellor stopping Stamp Duty being paid by first time buyers!

Looking at the different sectors of the Southampton property market, splitting it down into property types, one can see what is happening to each sector of the market with regard to their average asking prices now compared to a year ago. Firstly, looking at the Pound note amounts…



Interestingly, when one looks at the percentages, the most movement in average asking price pressure is in the aparments property type sector.




Now, I must stress this overall drop in the asking prices of Southampton property doesn’t necessarily mean the value of Southampton property is going down by the same amount.

Only time will tell if the current levels of Southampton asking prices is a correction of optimistic house sellers after a couple of months of enthusiastic asking price rises in the lead up to Christmas, or is it an initial sign that property values are slipping. To judge what is really happening to the Southampton property market, I believe these asking prices must be viewed in conjunction with both the values achieved and the length of time it takes to sell the property.

Also, these figures are averages, so it might also mean less expensive types of Southampton semi-detached or Southampton apartments, are on the market now, this dragging the average down, compared to a year ago.

One thought I would like to share with the Southampton homeowners and landlords wanting to sell their property, is the fact they need to be aware of the competition of other people selling their homes. One factor that could be contributing to a subdued demand for local property is the progressively strained buyer mortgage affordability (i.e. banks telling people they can only afford so much on a mortgage), meaning more and more buyers are hitting their maximum on the amount they are able to borrow on a mortgage sooner than they thought.

So, what does this all mean, especially for buy to let landlords in Southampton? During these months of flux, there could be some property bargains to be had. Lower asking prices mean you are buying in better yields and potential capital growth at the same time. Many Southampton landlords pick the phone up or email me with Rightmove links, asking my opinion on the BTL potential of property. I don’t charge for that service, so if you don’t want to miss out on such opinion, follow what they do and make contact ... I don’t bite!

If you are looking for an agent that is well establishedprofessional andcommunicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.

Email me on brian.linehan@belvoirlettings.com or call on 023 8001 8222.

Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.

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Wednesday, 6 June 2018

£1,173 pcm – The Average Southampton Rent



The rents paid by Southampton tenants are now standing at £1,173 per calendar month (PCM), a rise of 0.51% year on year and 0.63% higher month on month.

However, this attention-grabbing monthly rent figure masks stark differences in the various different parts of the Southampton rental market.  Demand in Southampton for high quality family homes with two or three bedrooms in good catchment areas for schools remains really robust due to tenants wanting access to the schools.  Other influencing factors that make certain areas popular are the proximity to transport links. However, I have noticed a drop in demand (and thus rents achieved) for property where the landlord hasn’t kept the property fresh; in terms of decoration, carpets, replacement windows and poor heating.

So, what does all this mean for Southampton landlords and tenants?

With the new tax rules for landlords, many believed that the number of rental properties would narrow throughout 2017, as landlords sold up their Buy to let properties and looked to invest their money elsewhere, but evidently this hasn’t happened.  Feasibly Southampton landlords are re-mortgaging their Southampton buy to let properties instead, as they still believe it’s a safer investment than looking, say at the stock market?

However, demand remained strong in 2017 for Southampton private rental properties, meaning the rents being achieved were at a decent level for landlords. Keeping your outgoings low is also an important consideration and so I looked on a well-known financial services comparison site this morning and found a High Street bank offering a 5-year fixed rate for Buy to let landlords with a 40% deposit/equity for 2.17% … I can remember (as I am sure many of my readers of this blog can) when mortgage rates were at 15% - this is cheap money!

Looking at property values in Southampton, over the last 12 months and specifically at the lower of the market where buy to let landlords tend to buy their rental properties.  Flats/apartments have fallen in value by 0.77% whilst terraced properties have risen by 1.87%.

Some Southampton landlords have seen the yields they are achieving remain squeezed.

However, most landlords can start to feel assured that as capital growth in Southampton remains at a more realistic figure (good for long term stability in the property market) and long-term rents are on the rise, the overall corresponding annual return on investment (Annual ROI being annual capital + annual yield) has stabilised in all areas and is now starting to grow.


With additional people seeing renting as a long-term option, even with the challenges of the new tax regime, Southampton landlords, with the support of a good advice and opinion, should continue to see renting as a good investment vehicle.

Want to know where those Southampton buy to let bargains are?  Follow my Southampton Property Blog or drop me an email because irrespective of which agent you use, myself or any of the other excellent agents in Southampton, many local landlords ask me my thoughts, opinion and advice on what (and not) to buy locally … and I wouldn’t want you to miss out on those thoughts ... would you?

If you are looking for an agent that is well establishedprofessional andcommunicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.

Email me on brian.linehan@belvoirlettings.com or call on 023 8001 8222.

Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.

Wednesday, 30 May 2018

Southampton Millennials Have Spent £165,977 On Rent By The Age of 35




The Millennials were born between the mid 1980’s and late 1990’s thus making them between the age of around 22 to late 30’s. They are the imaginative, artistic youngsters who grew up with the newest tech and computers and who are huge aficionados of music festivals, gourmet pizzas, emoji’s, selfies and old school nostalgia. Also known as Generation Rent, many Millennials have discovered that renting is a good choice for their shelter and accommodation needs without the hassle that comes from buying a home. Nonetheless, that is not the only reason they don’t buy property. When they should be concentrating on their profession, putting down roots and starting a family, Millennials are still going through the pressure and strain of student loan liabilities whilst, at the same time, finding it tough to pay rent.

The hot topic at the moment is the cost of renting, as both political parties have seen mileage in wooing these Millennial Generation Renters. The average rent in Southampton is currently £1,162 per month making this a big-ticket item on the monthly budget. I was inquisitive to find out exactly how much Southampton Millennials will spend on rent by the time they reach their mid 30’s. The average age people leave home in the UK is 22; so looking at a Southampton 22-year-old (or Millennial) who left home in 2005 then between 2005 and today that Southampton Millennial will have shelled out £165,977 in rent.

It’s no wonder local Millennials can’t afford to buy a Southampton home given their tremendous debt. This means younger Southampton Millennials will probably carry on renting for the foreseeable future, simply because the prospect of buying a home is not yet achievable.. that is until you look more deeply at the numbers…




Looking at the chart above, the average rent of a Southampton property in 2005 was £956 per month (pm)  … if it had risen by inflation, today, that would be £1,347 pm. As I have already mentioned in the article, today it only stands at £1,162 per month. Looking over the last 12 years, adding up all the differences between what the average actual rent was compared to what it should have been if rent had gone up by inflation, the average Southampton Millennial tenant would have paid £180,821.



This means that an average 35-year-old Southampton Millennial tenant, who has been renting since 2005, is better off by £14,845 when comparing the actual rent paid compared to what it would have been if it had risen by inflation. In a nutshell, tenants have done well due to the sub-inflation growth in rents.
In fact, if you recall I mentioned in an article a few weeks ago, the older Southampton Millennials are starting to use those savings and are gradually shifting towards home ownership. They are finally catching up with the British homeownership dream as Bank of Mum and Dad help with the deposit. Also, the scrapping of Stamp Duty from the Government starts to kick in together with the realisation that if the 5% mortgage deposit can be scrapped together (yes, 95% first time buyer mortgages have been available since 2009), it is still a lot cheaper to buy than rent, meaning this will unquestionably drive demand for Southampton homes for sale – good news for Southampton homeowners.

… and what does this mean for Southampton landlords?


Well the vast majority of younger Millennials are still renters and I foresee this to be the case for at least the next ten to fifteen years. Landlords will need to keep improving their properties to ensure they get the best tenants and they will see a much higher rent achieved. Millennials will pay top dollar for a top dollar property. It is important to do things correctly as making money won’t be as easy as it has been over the last twenty years.  With a greater number of properties on the market .. comes greater choice. Don’t buy the first thing you see, buy with your head as well as your heart … because as I promised a few weeks ago, the first rule of Buy To Let Investment ….. “You are not going to live in the property yourself”


Want to know where those Southampton buy to let bargains are?  Follow my Southampton Property Blog or drop me an email because irrespective of which agent you use, myself or any of the other excellent agents in Southampton, many local landlords ask me my thoughts, opinion and advice on what (and not) to buy locally … and I wouldn’t want you to miss out on those thoughts ... would you?

If you are looking for an agent that is well establishedprofessional andcommunicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.

Email me on brian.linehan@belvoirlettings.com or call on 023 8001 8222.

Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.

Wednesday, 23 May 2018

Southampton Property Market – Which Houses are Actually Selling?



Beast from the East, Russia, Facebook, Brexit, Trump, House prices up, House prices down ... the Press is full of column inches on Brit’s favourite subjects of politics, scandal, weather and not forgetting (and I appreciate the irony of this!) the property market. As an agent belonging to a national group of estate agents, talking to my fellow property professionals from around the UK, the one thing that is immediately apparent is the UK does not have one property market. It is a hodgepodge patchwork of lots of small property markets all performing in different ways.  

… And that made me think … is there just one Southampton Property Market or many?

I like to keep an eye on the property market in Southampton on a daily basis because it enables me to give the best advice and opinion on what (or what not) to buy in Southampton, be that a buy-to-let property for a Southampton landlord or an owner occupier house for a home owner.  So, I thought, how could I scientifically split the Southampton housing market into segments, so I could see which part of the market was performing the best and the worst.

I decided the best way was to split the Southampton property market into four equal size price bands (into terms of households for sale). Each price band would have around 25% of the property in Southampton, from the lowest in value (the Lowest Quartile or 25%) all the way through to the highest 25% in terms of value, the Upper Quartile.  Looking at the market, I have calculated that these are the price bands in Southampton are as follows:

·         Lowest Quartile (lowest 25% in terms of value) … Up to £180,000
·         Lower/Middle Quartile (25% to 50% Quartile in terms of value) ...  £180,000 to £230,000
·         Middle/Upper Quartile (50% to 75% Quartile in terms of value) ... £230,000 to £290,000
·         Upper Quartile (highest 25% in terms of value) ... £290,000 Upwards

So, having split the Southampton Property Market approximately into four equal sizes, the results in terms what price band has sold (subject to contract or stc) the most is quite enlightening -

Southampton 
Available
Sold STC
% Sold
Up to £180,000
331
433
56.7%
£180,000 to £230,000
277
380
57.8%
£230,000 to £290,000
346
361
51.1%
£290,000 Upwards
440
308
41.2%

The results are close, but the best performing price range in Southampton is the lower end of the middle market. As I would expect, the upper quartile (the top 25%) is finding things toughest. Interestingly for Southampton landlords, the lower market is also selling well, meaning there are plenty of Southampton landlords buying properties to add to their buy to let portfolios. Even though the number of first time buyers did increase in 2017, it was from a low base and the vast majority of 20 something’s cannot buy, so need a roof over their head (hence the need to rent somewhere).


It is a fact that British (and Southampton’s) housing markets have ridden the storms of Oil crisis in the 1970’s, the 1980’s depression, Black Monday in the 1990’s, and latterly the Credit Crunch together with the various house price crashes of 1973, 1987 and 2008. No matter what happens to us Brexit or anything else ... unless the Government starts to build hundreds of thousands extra houses each year, demand will always outstrip supply … so maybe a time for Southampton investors to bag a bargain?


Want to know where those Southampton buy to let bargains are?  Follow my Southampton Property Blog or drop me an email because irrespective of which agent you use, myself or any of the other excellent agents in Southampton, many local landlords ask me my thoughts, opinion and advice on what (and not) to buy locally … and I wouldn’t want you to miss out on those thoughts ... would you?

If you are looking for an agent that is well establishedprofessional andcommunicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.

Email me on brian.linehan@belvoirlettings.com or call on 023 8001 8222.

Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.

Thursday, 17 May 2018

10% More Southampton Home Owners Wanting to Move Than 12 Months Ago

As I have mentioned a number times in my local property market blog, with not enough new-build properties being built in Southampton and the surrounding area to keep up with demand for homes to live in (be that tenants or homebuyers), it’s good to know more Southampton home sellers are putting their properties on to the market than a year ago.

At the start of 2007 there were 2,619 properties for sale in Southampton but by July 2008, when the credit crunch was really beginning to bite, that number had risen to 4,290 properties on the market at a time when demand was at an all-time low, thus creating an imbalance in the local property market.

Basic economics dictates that if there is too much supply of something and demand is poor (which it was in the Credit Crunch years of 2008/9) … prices will drop. In fact, house prices dropped between 15% and 20% depending on the type of Southampton property between the end of 2007 and Spring 2009.

However, over the last five years, we have seen a gradual decrease in the supply of properties coming onto the market for sale with demand remaining steady, meaning Southampton property prices have remained robust.  A stable housing market is one of the foundations of a successful British economy, as it’s all about getting the healthy balance of buyer demand with a good supply of properties. Nevertheless, if you had asked me a couple of years ago, I would have said we were beginning to see there was in fact NOT enough properties coming on to the market for sale … meaning in certain sectors of the Southampton property market, house prices were overheating because of this lack of supply.

So, it is pleasing to note, looking at the recent numbers …

There are 10% more properties for sale in Southampton today than a year ago

There were 1,294 properties for sale 12 months ago, and today that stands at 1,421. It doesn’t sound a lot, yet this is a small step in the right direction to a more stable property market.


Even better news, since the Chancellor announced the stamp duty rule changes for first time buyers (FTB), my fellow agents in Southampton say that the number of FTB’s registering on the majority of agent’s books has increased year on year. That has still to follow through into more FTB’s buying their first home, however, with the heightened levels of confidence being demonstrated by both Southampton house sellers and potential house buyers, I do foresee the Southampton Property Market will show steady yet sustained improvement during the first half of 2018.

What does this mean for Southampton landlords or those considering dipping their toe into the buy to let market for the first time? Landlords will need to keep improving their properties to ensure they get the best tenants. It is true that demand amongst FTB’s is increasing, albeit from a low base. Even with the new landlord tax rules, buy to let in Southampton still looks a good investment, providing Southampton landlords with a good income at a time of low interest rates and a roller coaster stock market.

If you are thinking of investing in bricks and mortar in Southampton, it is important to do things correctly as making money won’t be as easy as it has been over the last twenty years.  With a greater number of properties on the market .. comes greater choice. Don’t buy the first thing you see, buy with your head as well as your heart … and don’t forget the first rule of Buy To Let Investment …..


I will tell you that 1st rule in a couple of weeks!

If you are looking for an agent that is well establishedprofessional andcommunicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.

Email me on brian.linehan@belvoirlettings.com or call on 023 8001 8222.

Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.

Thursday, 3 May 2018

Southampton Council Tax Payers Stung by 69.0% above Inflation Rise

Buying and selling a home in Southampton isn’t the easiest or cheapest thing you will ever do. Estate Agent fees, Solicitors fees, Survey fees, Mortgage fees, Removal Van … the costs just mount up throughout every step of the move. Last week, a Southampton landlord asked me whether the Council Tax Band made a difference to a property’s appeal, be it tenanted or to owner occupiers, when it comes to being sold on the open market and whether extensions or improvements made a difference to the tax banding?

Well, like I said, the first point you should always be aware of is what Council Tax Band your new house or apartment will fall under. Being aware of this before you buy/move will help when planning month by month for life in your home (or investment). But what exactly are Council Tax Bands, and how do they affect landlords/tenants/homebuyers?

How much Council Tax you pay depends on two variables. The first is which Council Tax Band your property is in. A property is placed into a specific band depending upon what the value of the property was in April 1991 – the date when the tax band system was applied. In a nutshell, what your property is worth today has no relevance whatsoever to your banding.

Council Tax Bands have a letter of the alphabet and range from bands A-H.

The Council Tax Band values are:
Band A – up to £40,000
Band B – £40,001 to £52,000
Band C – £52,001 to £68,000
Band D – £68,001 to  £88,000
Band E – £88,001 to £120,000
Band F – £120,001 to £160,000
Band G – £160,001 to £320,000
Band H – more than £320,000

So, for example, if a property sold for £110,000 in April 1991 but is now worth £350,000 it will remain in Band E – NOT Band H), as this was the value when the bands were set in 1991. For new homes, the same thing applies: they are valued based on the 1991 market value. This safeguards that all homes and all buyers are treated equally and consistently. The second factor that determines how much Council Tax you pay is what each individual local authority decides each band will pay in Council Tax. (So for example, a householder/tenant in Leeds in a Band E property will pay a different amount in Council Tax each year to someone in Swindon or North London in Band E).


Interestingly, the average current level of Council tax paid by Southampton people stands at £1,038 per annum, up from £323 in 1993 (although if it had risen by inflation in those 25 years .. today that should only be £614) … meaning Council Tax has outstripped inflation by 69.0%. So unless the local authority changes its majority political party, the only way you can change the amount you pay in Council Tax is your banding i.e. you physically move to a higher or lower band.



Contrary to what most people think, extensions and improvements do not change the Council Tax Band and existing householders/tenants only have to pay the same Council Tax as they would have without any extensions and improvements. However, the Valuation Office (The Government’s Property Valuers) do reserve the right to re-value the extended property if the property gets sold.  If you are a potential buyer, you should be aware of this review as it could change the amount of Council Tax you pay after the purchase. If a higher band is necessary, the new band will be based on what the extended property would have been expected to sell for in 1991. However, this does not necessarily mean that the banding will jump one band, as this is contingent on the extent of the changes and whether the property falls towards the top or bottom of its existing band. More often than not – it isn’t an issue and the banding stays the same.


In terms of which band the property is in, this can be challenged. In my experience in the Southampton property market the only issue is one where there is an anomaly with the banding, when one property is in a different band to all the others in the street. This is much rarer than it used to be, as most such anomalies have been found and rectified. Anyone can check the banding of any property by going to Google and typing in “Check My Council Tax Banding”. I do need to mention a thoughtful warning though. Challenging your Council Tax Band is not something to do on a whim for one simple fact - you cannot request your band to be lowered, only 'reassessed', which means your band could be moved up as well as down. I have even heard of neighbouring properties band’s being increased by someone appealing, although this is the exception. If you have any questions don’t hesitate to drop me a line.

If you are looking for an agent that is well establishedprofessional andcommunicative, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.

Email me on brian.linehan@belvoirlettings.com or call on 023 8001 8222.

Don't forget to visit the links below to view back dated deals and Southampton Property News.